Before Jan 1, 2027
Implied probability 12%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$11k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 12% |
| 30 Oct, 02:00 UTC | 12% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump takes any executive action invoking Section 740 of the D.C. Home Rule Act before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if he does not take such action by that date. Readers often mistake the filing of a lawsuit for the required executive action.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 12%
- No 88%