Poland
Implied probability 10%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$9k
Liquidity$9k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 10% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump physically travels to and is present within Poland's geographic boundaries between now and January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a plot against PM Tusk as the resolution criteria, but only Trump's physical presence in Poland matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 10%
- No 90%