Germany
Implied probability 15%+3
24-hour volume$291
Total volume$29k
Liquidity$29k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 15% |
| 30 Oct, 02:34 UTC | 15% |
| 29 Oct, 19:15 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 12% |
| 28 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 13% |
| 27 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 15% |
| 26 Oct, 11:49 UTC | 12% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump physically travels to and is present within Germany's geographic boundaries after the issuance date and before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about trade agreements for the resolution criteria, but only Trump's physical presence in Germany matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 15%
- No 85%