Above 198 thousand
Implied probability 30%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves31 Mar 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 30% |
| 29 Oct, 20:51 UTC | 30% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Toast Inc. reports having more than 198,000 total locations in 2026. It resolves to No if the company reports 198,000 or fewer locations. Readers often mistake the FTC lawsuit headline for the resolution criteria, but only Toast's reported location count matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 30%
- No 70%