gemini-3.8-flash-high
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolved28 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 24 Sept, 17:27 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Sept, 17:16 UTC | 0% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if gemini-3.8-flash-high ranks as the top AI model on September 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about voice models for the ranking criteria, but only the model's rank matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%