Taylor Swift
Implied probability 83%+1
24-hour volume$35
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 83% |
| 30 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 83% |
| 29 Oct, 21:55 UTC | 81% |
| 29 Oct, 17:26 UTC | 82% |
| 29 Oct, 15:30 UTC | 85% |
| 29 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 84% |
| 29 Oct, 00:34 UTC | 85% |
| 28 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 82% |
| 28 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 77% |
| 28 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 82% |
| 28 Oct, 17:47 UTC | 83% |
| 28 Oct, 14:35 UTC | 82% |
| 26 Oct, 18:48 UTC | 86% |
| 26 Oct, 10:14 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 04:04 UTC | 82% |
| 25 Oct, 16:42 UTC | 75% |
| 25 Oct, 01:08 UTC | 81% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Taylor Swift ranks as the third most streamed artist globally on Spotify's 2026 Wrapped Top 10 Artist chart at the time of its release. The outcome depends solely on this specific official Spotify data point. Readers often mistake the linked news story about the VMAs for the resolution criteria, but the award show results do not determine the market outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 83%
- No 17%