Exactly 1 song
Implied probability 99%
24-hour volume$44
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
Resolves31 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 22 Oct, 20:40 UTC | 99% |
| 21 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 98% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Taylor Swift has exactly one song in the top 10 of the Billboard Hot 100 chart dated October 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the date of the chart for the date of the news story or assume multiple songs qualify as a single entry.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%