Sam Altman
Implied probability 7%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves31 Jan 2030
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 4 Nov, 18:50 UTC | 7% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Sam Altman is named Time's Person of the Decade for the 2020s. It resolves to No if he does not receive this specific title. Readers often mistake other awards or general recognition for this official designation.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 7%
- No 93%