South Africa
Implied probability 52%+5
24-hour volume$43k
Total volume$45k
Liquidity$45k
Resolves16 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 52% |
| 9 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 52% |
| 9 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 53% |
| 9 Oct, 15:21 UTC | 53% |
| 9 Oct, 14:45 UTC | 53% |
| 9 Oct, 14:09 UTC | 55% |
| 9 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 56% |
| 9 Oct, 13:28 UTC | 56% |
| 9 Oct, 12:52 UTC | 63% |
| 9 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 61% |
| 9 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 63% |
| 9 Oct, 11:15 UTC | 57% |
| 9 Oct, 10:54 UTC | 61% |
| 9 Oct, 10:15 UTC | 52% |
| 9 Oct, 09:48 UTC | 49% |
| 9 Oct, 09:20 UTC | 46% |
| 9 Oct, 08:48 UTC | 54% |
| 9 Oct, 08:28 UTC | 50% |
| 9 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 42% |
| 9 Oct, 07:23 UTC | 42% |
| 8 Oct, 03:11 UTC | 48% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if South Africa wins the men's professional Test series against Australia. It resolves to No if South Africa does not win that specific series. Readers often mistake the start date of the first match for the deadline, but the outcome depends on the final result of the entire series.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 52%
- No 48%