Democratic party
Implied probability 7%−2
24-hour volume$543
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves2 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Oct, 18:30 UTC | 9% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Democrats win control of the Alaska State Senate in the 2026 election. The outcome is No if they do not. Readers often mistake the DOJ lawsuit deadline for the market resolution date.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 7%
- No 93%