Republican party
Implied probability 75%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves2 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 75% |
| 25 Oct, 14:04 UTC | 75% |
| 24 Oct, 13:38 UTC | 74% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Republican party wins control of the Alaska State House during the 2026 elections. The outcome is No if they do not win that specific seat. Readers often mistake the linked story about Trump’s comments for a relevant event, but only the actual election result matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 75%
- No 25%