Yes
The market favoured Yes at 82% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 65%
24-hour volume$305
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolved2 Nov 2027
Why it moved: +15 points at 04:54 UTC, after The Hill: Ohio approves photo ID requirement to vote — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 65% |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | 97% |
| 3 Nov, 03:06 UTC | 82% |
Outcomes
- Yes 65%
- No 35%