Constitutional Measure 1
Implied probability 1%−24
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves2 Nov 2027
Why it moved: −24 points at 07:04 UTC, after The Hill: South Dakota approves ballot measure affirming only citizens can vote in elections — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 07:04 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Nov, 06:31 UTC | 25% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Constitutional Measure 1 passes in North Dakota. The outcome depends solely on whether this specific measure is approved in that state. Readers often mistake approval in other states for a resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%