Yes
The market favoured Yes at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 96%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolved3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 96% |
| 2 Nov, 11:39 UTC | 96% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Proposal 2026-2 passes in Michigan. It resolves to No if the proposal fails. Readers often mistake the source of truth, thinking local news reports determine the outcome instead of the official election results.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 96%
- No 4%