Yes
The market favoured Yes at 93% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 95%
24-hour volume$146
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
Resolved2 Nov 2027
Why it moved: +5 points at 05:09 UTC, after Just In News: Kansas approves language reaffirming citizenship voting requirement — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 95% |
| 4 Nov, 06:21 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 05:39 UTC | 97% |
| 4 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 97% |
| 3 Nov, 04:13 UTC | 92% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Citizenship Requirement for Voting Amendment passes in Kansas. It resolves to No if the amendment fails or does not pass. Readers often mistake the passage of a related bill for the specific constitutional amendment required here.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 95%
- No 5%