English as Official State Language Amendment
The market favoured Yes at 87% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$11k
Resolved2 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 06:21 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 03:03 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 02:34 UTC | 59% |
| 3 Nov, 22:41 UTC | 96% |
| 3 Nov, 22:04 UTC | 86% |
| 3 Nov, 21:34 UTC | 95% |
| 2 Nov, 21:13 UTC | 92% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Idaho voters approve the amendment making English the official state language. The outcome is No if they reject it or if the measure fails to pass. Readers often mistake the linked story about a gun designation for the actual resolution criteria, but only the vote on the language amendment matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%