Amendment 87
The market favoured Yes at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$65k
Liquidity$65k
Resolved2 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 6 Nov, 16:20 UTC | 99% |
| 6 Nov, 15:51 UTC | 92% |
| 6 Nov, 13:56 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Nov, 04:56 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Nov, 16:21 UTC | 96% |
| 5 Nov, 15:41 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Nov, 12:44 UTC | 96% |
| 5 Nov, 06:11 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Nov, 05:17 UTC | 97% |
| 5 Nov, 00:16 UTC | 96% |
| 4 Nov, 23:04 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Nov, 21:58 UTC | 93% |
| 4 Nov, 20:45 UTC | 84% |
| 4 Nov, 19:35 UTC | 91% |
| 4 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 86% |
| 4 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 57% |
| 4 Nov, 16:13 UTC | 20% |
| 4 Nov, 14:59 UTC | 26% |
| 4 Nov, 13:46 UTC | 60% |
| 3 Nov, 13:34 UTC | 40% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Amendment 87 passes in Colorado. The outcome is No if it fails. Readers often mistake this for a vote on Amendment 81, which is a different measure.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%