Amendment 3
The market favoured Yes at 92% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$14
Total volume$13k
Liquidity$13k
Resolved4 Nov 2026
Why it moved: +7 points at 10:36 UTC, after The Hill: Alabama voters approve school prayer, Pledge of Allegiance amendment — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 10:36 UTC | 99% |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | 92% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Amendment 3 passes in Alabama. The outcome depends on the official election results confirming the amendment's approval.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%