Canada
Implied probability 2%+1
24-hour volume$122
Total volume$233k
Liquidity$233k
Resolves20 Jan 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 14:31 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 17:50 UTC | 2% |
| 18 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 2% |
| 16 Oct, 17:22 UTC | 2% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if any part of Canada becomes the 51st U.S. state before January 20, 2029. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline for the date of the news story rather than the specific cutoff date in 2029.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%