Above 304 million
Implied probability 99%+28
24-hour volume$205
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves25 Feb 2027
Why it moved: +28 points at 11:00 UTC, after The Hollywood Reporter: Spotify Hits 306M Premium Subs, Says It “Actually Stands to Thrive” in the Age of AI Agents — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 22 Oct, 11:00 UTC | 99% |
| 21 Oct, 10:12 UTC | 71% |
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Spotify Technology S.A. reports more than 304 million premium subscribers for the third quarter of 2026. The outcome depends solely on the company's official quarterly report for that specific period. Readers often mistake current subscriber counts or other quarters for the final resolution data.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%