Hong Kong, China
Why it moved: −29 points at 06:12 UTC, after News - South China Morning Post: 1 million Hong Kong employees to get ‘full portability’ of MPF funds in December — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 55% |
| 25 Oct, 08:53 UTC | 55% |
| 25 Oct, 06:12 UTC | 58% |
| 24 Oct, 05:31 UTC | 87% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Hong Kong qualifies for the Men's Lacrosse competition at the 2028 Los Angeles Olympics. It resolves to No if they do not qualify. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it is tied to the end of the qualification period rather than the official announcement of Olympic participation.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 55%
- No 45%