Above $122 billion
The market favoured No at 64% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 98%
24-hour volume$612
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolved5 Mar 2027
Why it moved: +62 points at 20:41 UTC, after theinformation.com: Shopify Stock Falls 7.6% After Company Discloses Profit Margin Drop Due to AI — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 98% |
| 3 Nov, 20:41 UTC | 98% |
| 2 Nov, 14:07 UTC | 36% |
Outcomes
- Yes 98%
- No 2%