145+ consecutive games
The market favoured Yes at 77% a day out, but No won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$269
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolved29 May 2028
Why it moved: +22 points at 05:39 UTC, after www.espn.com: SGA opts for 'respect' over record, subs out of blowout to end 20-point streak — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 23 Oct, 05:39 UTC | 99% |
| 22 Oct, 04:38 UTC | 77% |
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%