Above 12.5%
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 19% |
| 26 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 19% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Sweetgreen Inc. reports a restaurant-level profit margin above 12.5% for fiscal 2026. It resolves to No if the reported margin is 12.5% or lower. Readers often mistake the current news headline about manager pay for the actual resolution metric, which depends strictly on the company's future fiscal 2026 financial report.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 19%
- No 81%