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Noah Wyle

Implied probability 98%+11
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$34k
Liquidity$34k
Resolves1 Jan 2027

Why it moved: +12 points at 10:42 UTC, after Variety: Noah Wyle Named People’s 2026 Sexiest Man Alive — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Noah Wyle
0%50%100%98%26 Oct, 09:57 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now98%
27 Oct, 15:35 UTC98%
27 Oct, 14:14 UTC98%
27 Oct, 10:42 UTC99%
26 Oct, 09:57 UTC87%

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if People magazine names Noah Wyle as its Sexiest Man Alive for 2026. The outcome is No if he does not receive that specific title. Readers often mistake the announcement date for the deadline, but the resolution depends solely on whether he holds the title for that year.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 98%
  • No 2%

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