Student list, ≥5%
Why it moved: −4 points at 08:04 UTC, after Times of India: Fireworks and celebrations as student-led movement wins in Serbia; can they deliver? — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 95% |
| 27 Oct, 08:04 UTC | 95% |
| 26 Oct, 07:26 UTC | 99% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Student list wins the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of at least 5%. The outcome is No if the margin falls below that threshold or if they do not win. Readers often mistake the required margin for a simple plurality win rather than a specific percentage gap.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 95%
- No 5%