Chris Murphy
Implied probability 7%+4
24-hour volume$641
Total volume$38k
Liquidity$38k
Resolves31 Dec 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 1 Nov, 18:11 UTC | 9% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Chris Murphy wins the next Senate Democratic Leader election. The outcome is No if he does not win that specific election. Readers often mistake the deadline for when the election occurs rather than when the result is officially certified.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 7%
- No 93%