Event does not qualify/occur
Implied probability 5%−2
24-hour volume$2
Total volume$14k
Liquidity$14k
Resolves1 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 17:00 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Oct, 17:36 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 6% |
Your call. How does this end?
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Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the White House Press Secretary explicitly states that the event does not qualify or occur during the next official press briefing. It resolves to No if this specific declaration is not made in that setting. Readers often mistake informal gaggles for official briefings, but only the formal briefing counts toward resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%