John Roberts
Why it moved: −7 points at 17:57 UTC, after CBS News Politics: Top lawyer in DOJ's National Security Division abruptly resigns — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 15% |
| 6 Nov, 17:57 UTC | 15% |
| 5 Nov, 16:59 UTC | 22% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Chief Justice John Roberts resigns or announces his intent to resign from the Supreme Court before January 20, 2029. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about DOJ officials as the trigger, but only Roberts' own resignation or announcement counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 15%
- No 85%