Before Aug 1, 2028
Implied probability 62%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves1 Aug 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 62% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 62% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Supreme Court overturns the lower court's decision blocking the immigration policy. It resolves to No if the Court allows that decision to stand or does not rule on it before August 1, 2028. Readers often mistake the deadline for when the case was filed rather than when the final ruling must occur.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 62%
- No 38%