Above 80
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$468
Total volume$106k
Liquidity$106k
Resolves19 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 16 Oct, 02:48 UTC | 1% |
| 15 Oct, 22:01 UTC | 2% |
| 15 Oct, 20:45 UTC | 1% |
| 15 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 2% |
| 15 Oct, 16:56 UTC | 1% |
| 15 Oct, 15:38 UTC | 2% |
| 15 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 1% |
| 15 Oct, 10:38 UTC | 2% |
| 15 Oct, 06:46 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 05:34 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 03:03 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Oct, 23:14 UTC | 4% |
| 14 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 16% |
| 14 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 28% |
| 14 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 25% |
| 14 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 58% |
| 14 Oct, 11:52 UTC | 52% |
| 14 Oct, 10:36 UTC | 56% |
| 14 Oct, 09:17 UTC | 51% |
| 14 Oct, 06:49 UTC | 45% |
| 14 Oct, 05:35 UTC | 51% |
| 14 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 48% |
| 14 Oct, 03:08 UTC | 45% |
| 14 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 47% |
| 14 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 43% |
| 13 Oct, 22:11 UTC | 37% |
| 13 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 42% |
| 13 Oct, 17:07 UTC | 38% |
| 13 Oct, 15:50 UTC | 36% |
| 13 Oct, 13:18 UTC | 35% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if the movie Whalefall achieves a Tomatometer score above 80 on October 19, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. The outcome is No if the score is 80 or lower at that specific time. Readers often mistake the release date for the resolution deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%