Above 50
Implied probability 1%−1
24-hour volume$13k
Total volume$52k
Liquidity$52k
Resolves5 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 2 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Oct, 12:30 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Oct, 07:15 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Oct, 10:35 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 06:55 UTC | 8% |
| 1 Oct, 05:40 UTC | 10% |
| 1 Oct, 04:30 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 00:44 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Sept, 23:32 UTC | 9% |
| 30 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 20:55 UTC | 61% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Tomatometer score for Verity exceeds 50 on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the date of the theatrical release or preview earnings for the resolution criteria instead of the specific Tomatometer score deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%