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Above 40

Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$52
Total volume$108k
Liquidity$108k
Resolves26 Oct 2026
How the odds moved · Above 40
0%50%100%1%17 Oct, 18:11 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now1%
22 Oct, 15:28 UTC1%
21 Oct, 22:53 UTC3%
21 Oct, 21:41 UTC5%
21 Oct, 15:17 UTC2%
21 Oct, 06:09 UTC4%
21 Oct, 03:29 UTC5%
20 Oct, 23:34 UTC4%
20 Oct, 20:58 UTC5%
20 Oct, 19:41 UTC4%
20 Oct, 17:10 UTC5%
20 Oct, 15:51 UTC9%
20 Oct, 14:33 UTC6%
20 Oct, 10:35 UTC5%
20 Oct, 05:47 UTC6%
19 Oct, 01:54 UTC7%
18 Oct, 18:22 UTC8%
17 Oct, 18:11 UTC15%

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Klara and the Sun has a Tomatometer score above 40 on October 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. It resolves to No if the score is 40 or lower at that time. Readers often mistake the deadline for the premiere date rather than the specific resolution timestamp.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 1%
  • No 99%

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