Above 45
Implied probability 98%
24-hour volume$8k
Total volume$70k
Liquidity$70k
Resolves21 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 98% |
| 27 Oct, 05:06 UTC | 98% |
| 27 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 99% |
| 26 Oct, 18:04 UTC | 98% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Dune: Part Three has a Tomatometer score above 45 on the Monday after its wide release at 10:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the date of the trailer release for the resolution deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 98%
- No 2%