Before Jan 1, 2028
Implied probability 38%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves1 Jan 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 38% |
| 8 Oct, 19:39 UTC | 38% |
| 5 Oct, 12:03 UTC | 43% |
| 4 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 50% |
| 4 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 54% |
| 3 Oct, 20:39 UTC | 0% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leaves his role as HHS Secretary before January 1, 2028. The outcome is No if he remains in that position through the end of that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about AI claims for the actual resolution criteria.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 38%
- No 62%