Gas
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 6 Nov, 05:57 UTC | 4% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if gas becomes the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030. The outcome is No if any other energy source holds that top spot. Readers often mistake the year 2030 for a deadline to make a decision rather than the specific time period used to determine the winner.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 96%