John Kennedy
Implied probability 1%+1
24-hour volume$148k
Total volume$347k
Liquidity$347k
Resolves7 Nov 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 22:32 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 0% |
| 5 Nov, 06:11 UTC | 0% |
| 5 Nov, 01:28 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 19:35 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 13:46 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 06:43 UTC | 0% |
| 3 Nov, 16:40 UTC | 0% |
| 3 Nov, 03:33 UTC | 0% |
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if John Kennedy wins the Republican presidential nomination and accepts it in 2028. The outcome is No if he does not win or accept the nomination by that time. Readers often mistake the linked news story about GOP preparations for the actual resolution criteria.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%