Raphael Warnock
Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$212
Total volume$5.8M
Liquidity$5.8M
Resolves7 Nov 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 00:57 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Oct, 19:53 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 19:00 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 16:35 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 10:26 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 04:07 UTC | 2% |
| 28 Oct, 21:49 UTC | 2% |
| 28 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 2% |
| 28 Oct, 15:47 UTC | 2% |
| 28 Oct, 13:16 UTC | 2% |
| 28 Oct, 10:48 UTC | 2% |
| 28 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Oct, 18:04 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Oct, 16:51 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Oct, 01:52 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 22:37 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 17:35 UTC | 2% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Raphael Warnock wins the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028 and accepts it. The outcome is No if he does not win or accept the nomination by that time. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about his Senate re-election, but the rule specifically requires him to become the Democratic nominee for President.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%