Abdul El-Sayed
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$217k
Total volume$5.3M
Liquidity$5.3M
Resolves7 Nov 2028
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Abdul El-Sayed wins the Democratic nomination for President in 2028 and accepts it. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of his election victory rather than just securing the party's nomination.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%