Law and Justice
Implied probability 51%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves10 Nov 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 51% |
| 31 Oct, 03:01 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 01:54 UTC | 44% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Law and Justice party wins the next Polish general election. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake this for a vote on the current political crisis rather than the specific outcome of the upcoming election.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 51%
- No 49%