Mariana di Girolamo
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 16:01 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Mariana di Girolamo wins the Best Supporting Actress award at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if she does not win that specific category. Readers often mistake the linked story about her starring in Wild Horse Nine as a factor, but only the official Oscar result matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%