The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$13k
Liquidity$13k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 12:11 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the film receives a nomination for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if it does not receive that specific nomination. Readers often mistake the AFI Fest screening mentioned in the headline as the qualifying event, but only an official Oscar nomination counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%