The Social Reckoning
Implied probability 4%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$26k
Liquidity$26k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 17 Oct, 04:30 UTC | 4% |
| 16 Oct, 13:38 UTC | 3% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the film receives a Best Picture nomination at the 99th Academy Awards. The outcome is No if it does not receive that specific nomination. Readers often mistake general nominations or awards for the required Best Picture category.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 96%