Michael
Why it moved: −4 points at 20:56 UTC, after Variety: ‘Cher Adores Michael Douglas,’ Icon’s Rep Says After Douglas Disses Her Oscar Win for ‘Moonstruck’ — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 3 Nov, 20:56 UTC | 10% |
| 2 Nov, 20:03 UTC | 14% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Michael is nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if he is not nominated. Readers often mistake the linked story about Cher as relevant, but only Michael's nomination status matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 10%
- No 90%