I Play Rocky
Implied probability 48%−5
24-hour volume$152
Total volume$40k
Liquidity$40k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 48% |
| 3 Nov, 09:13 UTC | 48% |
| 3 Nov, 04:01 UTC | 51% |
| 2 Nov, 23:51 UTC | 54% |
| 2 Nov, 19:04 UTC | 53% |
| 1 Nov, 18:02 UTC | 52% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the film "I Play Rocky" receives a nomination for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the Golden Globes nomination for the deciding factor, but only an Oscar nomination counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 48%
- No 52%