The Invite
Implied probability 64%+2
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$46k
Liquidity$46k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 64% |
| 27 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 64% |
| 27 Oct, 17:00 UTC | 63% |
| 27 Oct, 16:37 UTC | 64% |
| 26 Oct, 16:01 UTC | 63% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the film 'The Invite' receives a nomination for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if it does not receive that specific nomination. Readers often mistake nominations for other awards, such as the Gotham Film Awards mentioned in the linked story, as counting toward this resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 64%
- No 36%