Michael
Implied probability 34%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 34% |
| 2 Nov, 19:59 UTC | 34% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Michael is officially nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if he is not nominated by the time the nominations are announced. Readers often mistake the announcement date for the deadline, but the key factor is whether his name appears on the official nomination list.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 34%
- No 66%