Above 147.89 million barrels
Implied probability 5%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$19k
Liquidity$19k
Resolves26 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 15:41 UTC | 5% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the U.S. Energy Information Administration reports that Oklahoma’s crude oil field production for calendar year 2026 exceeds 147.89 million barrels. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the source of truth, assuming any news report on oil prices or production counts, but only official EIA data determines the outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%