Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win
Implied probability 64%+4
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$26k
Liquidity$26k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 64% |
| 20 Oct, 19:48 UTC | 62% |
| 20 Oct, 14:33 UTC | 61% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 60% |
| 18 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 65% |
| 18 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 66% |
| 17 Oct, 23:34 UTC | 63% |
| 17 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 60% |
| 17 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 63% |
| 17 Oct, 16:16 UTC | 62% |
| 17 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 65% |
| 17 Oct, 13:48 UTC | 63% |
| 17 Oct, 07:27 UTC | 64% |
| 17 Oct, 05:02 UTC | 63% |
| 17 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 60% |
| 17 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 65% |
| 16 Oct, 21:42 UTC | 64% |
| 16 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 78% |
| 16 Oct, 19:13 UTC | 62% |
| 16 Oct, 14:45 UTC | 59% |
| 16 Oct, 14:08 UTC | 60% |
| 16 Oct, 05:21 UTC | 61% |
| 16 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 58% |
| 15 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 57% |
| 15 Oct, 14:57 UTC | 56% |
| 14 Oct, 08:03 UTC | 57% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Democrat wins both the Ohio governor and Senate races. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake the linked story about Obama's campaign as the deciding factor, but only the actual election results matter.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 64%
- No 36%