Before 2028
Implied probability 57%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$9k
Liquidity$9k
Resolves1 Jan 2028
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if OpenAI pays tort damages exceeding $1 million before January 1, 2028. It resolves to No if that payment does not occur by the deadline. Readers often mistake the lawsuit filing date for the resolution deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 57%
- No 43%